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Vensim Help

ØSelect the Equations tool.  Modify the constants in the model to reflect the values given by the optimization.  You will probably only want the first two or three significant figures.

The values from the optimizer should be, or be close to:

conversion fraction = 0.0055

household addition rate = 0.013

initial fraction electric = 0.055

initial households = 2.0e+007

It is important to note that getting a model to fit the data well does not prove the model right.  When a model fits the data it means the model cannot be rejected because of the data.  It is important to look for other ways to find deficiencies with a model. Reality Checks, described in Chapter 14 are a very powerful tool for doing this.